Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Thompson 52.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 93.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 56.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 76.2%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Shaw
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Shaw
Thompson
Last 10: Shaw 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
6
0
Shaw
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
6
Shaw
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
7
Shaw
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
54.1% (5,812)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
54.8% (135)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
47.9% (1,381)
-5.8%
On even strength, Thompson has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Shaw
Thompson
Home
50.3% (1,812)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Shaw
Thompson
P1
48.5%
53.2%
P2
47.9%
52.9%
P3
48.2%
52.8%
OT
41.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2013 | OT | 00:41 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 24, 2013 | OT | 00:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |