Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.4% vs Spaling 50.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 75.6%
Defensive zone
Spaling 65.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 56.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Shaw
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Shaw
Spaling
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Spaling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Shaw
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Shaw
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (78)
49.7% (756)
-1.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
35.3% (17)
-5.3%
On power play, Spaling has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Shaw is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Shaw shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Shaw
Spaling
Home
46.5% (71)
52.1% (476)
Away
47.1% (17)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Shaw
Spaling
P1
64.0%
50.4%
P2
54.2%
51.3%
P3
32.4%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |