Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Spaling 49.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 85.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 50.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 67.3%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Shaw
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Shaw
Spaling
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
3
Shaw
Spaling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
6
Shaw
Spaling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
7
Shaw
Spaling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.5% (2,263)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
43.4% (53)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
48.0% (498)
-5.9%
On power play, Shaw has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Home / Away
Shaw
Spaling
Home
50.3% (1,812)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Shaw
Spaling
P1
48.5%
49.8%
P2
47.9%
48.3%
P3
48.2%
52.0%
OT
41.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |