Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Nash 46.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 57.7%
Defensive zone
Shaw 53.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 52.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Shaw
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Shaw
Nash
Last 8: Shaw 3-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Shaw
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Shaw
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
46.0% (615)
-2.1%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
58.6% (29)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
27.3% (22)
+18.2%
On power play, Nash has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Shaw is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Shaw shoots right. Nash is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nash
Home
46.3% (363)
54.1% (320)
Away
39.9% (321)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Shaw
Nash
P1
47.4%
44.8%
P2
43.0%
47.5%
P3
40.0%
44.9%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |