Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (54% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 69.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 72.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 52.6%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Shaw
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Shaw
Nash
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Shaw
Nash
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
6
7
Shaw
Nash
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
48.7% (4,621)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
51.0% (249)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
44.9% (550)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nash
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Shaw
Nash
P1
48.5%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
47.9%
P3
48.2%
48.0%
OT
41.9%
68.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Riley Nash |