Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Horcoff 50.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 56.4%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 85.3%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 72.0%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Shaw
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Horcoff
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
52.7% (347)
-8.8%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
40.0% (20)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
36.0% (50)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Horcoff is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Shaw
Horcoff
Home
46.3% (363)
57.0% (165)
Away
39.9% (321)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Shaw
Horcoff
P1
47.4%
46.8%
P2
43.0%
50.6%
P3
40.0%
50.9%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |