Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 57.8%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 80.2%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 58.6%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Shaw
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Shaw
Horcoff
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.6% (3,133)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
51.4% (555)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.0% (567)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Shaw
Horcoff
Home
50.3% (1,812)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Shaw
Horcoff
P1
48.5%
48.2%
P2
47.9%
49.5%
P3
48.2%
50.9%
OT
41.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |