Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 61.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 61.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 51.2%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Shaw
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Shaw
Johnson
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
4
Shaw
Johnson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
6
Shaw
Johnson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
49.8% (5,396)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
54.6% (885)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
42.3% (707)
-0.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Shaw
Johnson
Home
50.3% (1,812)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Shaw
Johnson
P1
48.5%
50.1%
P2
47.9%
50.6%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
41.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |