Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Rask 50.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 58.5%
Defensive zone
Rask 68.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 67.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Shaw
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Shaw
Rask
Last 10: Shaw 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
2
Shaw
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.0% (4,428)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
54.3% (363)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
35.2% (54)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Shaw
Rask
Home
50.3% (1,812)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Shaw
Rask
P1
48.5%
50.7%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
48.2%
50.7%
OT
41.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |