Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Andreoff on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Andreoff 50.0% vs Kesler 58.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Andreoff 60.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 84.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 57.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Andreoff
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Andreoff
Kesler
Last 5: Andreoff 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Andreoff
2
1
Andreoff
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Andreoff
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Andreoff
1
0
Andreoff
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Andreoff
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (262)
58.6% (1,138)
-8.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
64.5% (186)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
55.0% (351)
-5.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Andreoff is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Andreoff shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Andreoff
Kesler
Home
50.5% (107)
61.0% (859)
Away
49.7% (161)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Andreoff
Kesler
P1
51.4%
59.1%
P2
51.6%
56.5%
P3
45.7%
60.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Andreoff
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Andy Andreoff |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |