Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Andreoff on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Andreoff 51.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Andreoff 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 77.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 55.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Andreoff
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Andreoff
Kesler
Last 7: Andreoff 4-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Andreoff
3
1
Andreoff
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Andreoff
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Andreoff
1
0
Andreoff
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Andreoff
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (497)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.7% (1,437)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
50.5% (1,908)
-25.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Andreoff is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Andreoff shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Andreoff
Kesler
Home
54.8% (217)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.3% (290)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Andreoff
Kesler
P1
51.1%
56.5%
P2
53.5%
55.9%
P3
50.3%
56.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Andreoff
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Andy Andreoff |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |