Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Helm 50.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 67.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 86.4%
Neutral zone
Helm 60.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
McDonald
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDonald
Helm
Last 5: McDonald 2-3 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
1
McDonald
Helm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Helm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
51.1% (2,790)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
54.7% (148)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
48.0% (719)
-0.3%
On even strength, McDonald has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
McDonald
Helm
Home
54.9% (297)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
56.0% (366)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
McDonald
Helm
P1
58.5%
49.5%
P2
52.5%
52.8%
P3
54.1%
49.7%
OT
73.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |