Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Legwand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Legwand 48.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 64.1%
Defensive zone
Legwand 81.4%
Neutral zone
Legwand 59.2%
Result
David Legwand favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
McDonald
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McDonald
Legwand
Last 7: McDonald 3-4 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
0
McDonald
Legwand
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
0
4
McDonald
Legwand
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Legwand
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
47.7% (4,202)
+7.8%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
55.6% (516)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
41.6% (481)
+6.1%
On even strength, McDonald has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Legwand is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,407).
Home / Away
McDonald
Legwand
Home
54.9% (297)
50.2% (2,607)
Away
56.0% (366)
45.6% (2,611)
By Period
McDonald
Legwand
P1
58.5%
49.8%
P2
52.5%
48.0%
P3
54.1%
46.6%
OT
73.7%
35.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | David Legwand |