Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 54.9%). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Miller 54.8% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
McDonald 59.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 69.7%
Neutral zone
McDonald 50.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
McDonald
Miller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
55.2% (6,648)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
57.9% (1,285)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
48.2% (913)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Home / Away
McDonald
Miller
Home
54.9% (297)
55.9% (4,578)
Away
56.0% (366)
53.8% (4,268)
By Period
McDonald
Miller
P1
58.5%
54.7%
P2
52.5%
55.6%
P3
54.1%
54.0%
OT
73.7%
62.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%