Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
McDonald leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 63.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 63.9%
Neutral zone
McDonald 51.5%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
McDonald
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McDonald
Thornton
Last 10: McDonald 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
5
2
McDonald
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
McDonald
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
0
McDonald
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
53.5% (6,640)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
57.2% (1,387)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
56.7% (427)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
McDonald
Thornton
Home
54.9% (297)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
56.0% (366)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
McDonald
Thornton
P1
58.5%
55.0%
P2
52.5%
53.3%
P3
54.1%
54.4%
OT
73.7%
56.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |