Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
McDonald 56.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 57.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
McDonald
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
54.0% (15,885)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
56.5% (4,221)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
50.7% (612)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Home / Away
McDonald
Tavares
Home
54.9% (297)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
56.0% (366)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
McDonald
Tavares
P1
58.5%
55.1%
P2
52.5%
54.1%
P3
54.1%
54.0%
OT
73.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%