Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 53.7% vs Kruger 46.5% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 67.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 75.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 68.4%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
McDonald
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McDonald
Kruger
Last 6: McDonald 2-4 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
McDonald
Kruger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
2
McDonald
Kruger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
1
McDonald
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (87)
45.4% (502)
+13.2%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
46.7% (60)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
48.1% (52)
-2.6%
On even strength, McDonald has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. McDonald is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (61).
McDonald shoots left. Kruger is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
McDonald
Kruger
Home
52.3% (44)
46.1% (267)
Away
59.7% (72)
45.7% (352)
By Period
McDonald
Kruger
P1
59.5%
42.5%
P2
55.9%
44.7%
P3
53.8%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
56.9%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |