Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Kruger 50.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 71.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 91.1%
Neutral zone
Kruger 64.9%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
McDonald
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McDonald
Kruger
Last 7: McDonald 2-5 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
McDonald
Kruger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
3
McDonald
Kruger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
1
McDonald
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
52.4% (3,509)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
46.5% (99)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
42.9% (860)
+4.8%
On power play, McDonald has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Home / Away
McDonald
Kruger
Home
54.9% (297)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
56.0% (366)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
McDonald
Kruger
P1
58.5%
49.7%
P2
52.5%
49.7%
P3
54.1%
52.1%
OT
73.7%
53.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |