Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Stajan 49.4% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 67.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 90.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 61.6%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
McDonald
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
McDonald
Stajan
Last 10: McDonald 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
3
McDonald
Stajan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
5
McDonald
Stajan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
3
0
McDonald
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
50.2% (4,944)
+5.3%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
43.2% (176)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
46.1% (864)
+1.6%
On power play, McDonald has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
McDonald
Stajan
Home
54.9% (297)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
56.0% (366)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
McDonald
Stajan
P1
58.5%
50.3%
P2
52.5%
48.5%
P3
54.1%
49.4%
OT
73.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |