Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Koivu 52.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
McDonald leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 82.0%
Defensive zone
McDonald 60.1%
Neutral zone
McDonald 63.3%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
McDonald
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
McDonald
Koivu
Last 10: McDonald 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
6
1
McDonald
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
4
0
McDonald
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
8
McDonald
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
51.7% (842)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
55.2% (248)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
55.6% (178)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Home / Away
McDonald
Koivu
Home
63.5% (148)
54.1% (621)
Away
56.2% (201)
51.6% (672)
By Period
McDonald
Koivu
P1
64.2%
52.0%
P2
53.8%
55.5%
P3
59.8%
51.2%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | OT | 03:31 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2011 | OT | 03:24 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |