Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
McDonald leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 71.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 72.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.1%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
McDonald
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
McDonald
Koivu
Last 10: McDonald 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
6
2
McDonald
Koivu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
4
0
McDonald
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
8
McDonald
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
54.0% (9,465)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
58.6% (2,100)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
48.9% (1,688)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
McDonald
Koivu
Home
54.9% (297)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
56.0% (366)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
McDonald
Koivu
P1
58.5%
53.5%
P2
52.5%
54.6%
P3
54.1%
54.0%
OT
73.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2011 | OT | 03:31 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2011 | OT | 03:24 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |