Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 53.7% vs Spaling 50.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 75.7%
Defensive zone
Spaling 55.2%
Neutral zone
McDonald 74.6%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
McDonald
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McDonald
Spaling
Last 5: McDonald 4-1 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
0
McDonald
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (87)
49.7% (756)
+8.9%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
35.3% (17)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
55.0% (120)
-9.5%
On power play, McDonald has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. McDonald is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (61).
McDonald shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
McDonald
Spaling
Home
52.3% (44)
52.1% (476)
Away
59.7% (72)
47.8% (418)
By Period
McDonald
Spaling
P1
59.5%
50.4%
P2
55.9%
51.3%
P3
53.8%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
56.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |