Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Spaling 49.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 92.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 53.3%
Neutral zone
McDonald 74.8%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
McDonald
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
McDonald
Spaling
Last 9: McDonald 7-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
5
0
McDonald
Spaling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
McDonald
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
50.5% (2,263)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
43.4% (53)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
48.0% (498)
-0.3%
On power play, McDonald has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
McDonald
Spaling
Home
54.9% (297)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
56.0% (366)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
McDonald
Spaling
P1
58.5%
49.8%
P2
52.5%
48.3%
P3
54.1%
52.0%
OT
73.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |