Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Kesler 57.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 63.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 66.0%
Neutral zone
McDonald 53.3%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
McDonald
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDonald
Kesler
Last 5: McDonald 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
0
McDonald
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
McDonald
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
57.3% (1,022)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
61.5% (200)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
54.9% (257)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McDonald is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (107).
McDonald shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
McDonald
Kesler
Home
63.5% (148)
58.6% (766)
Away
56.2% (201)
56.2% (730)
By Period
McDonald
Kesler
P1
64.2%
58.9%
P2
53.8%
56.8%
P3
59.8%
57.5%
OT
66.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |