Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Horcoff 48.5% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 81.2%
Defensive zone
McDonald 60.1%
Neutral zone
McDonald 69.2%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
McDonald
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McDonald
Horcoff
Last 9: McDonald 6-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDonald
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
4
1
McDonald
Horcoff
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
51.8% (581)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
43.2% (125)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
38.1% (84)
+9.7%
On power play, McDonald has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Horcoff is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
McDonald
Horcoff
Home
63.5% (148)
49.2% (384)
Away
56.2% (201)
47.6% (429)
By Period
McDonald
Horcoff
P1
64.2%
45.8%
P2
53.8%
48.4%
P3
59.8%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |