Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 70.9%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 75.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 55.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
McDonald
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
McDonald
Horcoff
Last 10: McDonald 4-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
5
McDonald
Horcoff
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
5
2
McDonald
Horcoff
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
50.6% (3,133)
+4.9%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
51.4% (555)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
43.0% (567)
+4.7%
On power play, McDonald has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
McDonald
Horcoff
Home
54.9% (297)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
56.0% (366)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
McDonald
Horcoff
P1
58.5%
48.2%
P2
52.5%
49.5%
P3
54.1%
50.9%
OT
73.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 4, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |