Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Boyle 46.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 63.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 64.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 59.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Cirelli
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cirelli
Boyle
Last 5: Cirelli 1-4 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
2
Cirelli
Boyle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
2
Cirelli
Boyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
47.6% (290)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
50.0% (4)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
35.2% (71)
+2.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Boyle
Home
46.7% (478)
44.2% (199)
Away
46.4% (470)
46.4% (166)
By Period
Cirelli
Boyle
P1
46.6%
48.6%
P2
48.6%
40.4%
P3
44.3%
46.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |