Anthony Cirelli vs Casey Mittelstadt
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Mittelstadt 50.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Last 5: Cirelli 0-5 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
2
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
2
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
50.4% (139)
+0.0%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
54.8% (31)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
100.0% (1)
-63.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +63.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Home
54.2% (395)
59.3% (91)
Away
45.0% (509)
42.5% (80)
By Period
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
P1
50.8%
48.8%
P2
50.0%
49.1%
P3
46.6%
56.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |