Anthony Cirelli vs Casey Mittelstadt
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Mittelstadt 44.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 85.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 80.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
44.7% (886)
+5.2%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
40.2% (112)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
40.0% (5)
+8.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Home
46.7% (649)
46.0% (491)
Away
53.5% (643)
42.4% (512)
By Period
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
P1
50.1%
44.0%
P2
51.1%
46.4%
P3
48.5%
41.9%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |