Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Krejci 47.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 53.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 75.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 61.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Cirelli
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cirelli
Krejci
Last 5: Cirelli 3-2 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Cirelli
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Krejci
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Cirelli
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
47.2% (669)
+4.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
53.7% (54)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
35.3% (17)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Krejci
Home
52.4% (462)
52.0% (381)
Away
50.1% (369)
42.6% (359)
By Period
Cirelli
Krejci
P1
50.7%
47.2%
P2
49.6%
43.7%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
61.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |