Anthony Cirelli vs Evan Rodrigues
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 59.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 57.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 59.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Cirelli
Rodrigues
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
3
Cirelli
Rodrigues
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
47.9% (637)
+2.5%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
47.9% (71)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
37.3% (67)
-0.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Home
54.2% (395)
48.3% (429)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Cirelli
Rodrigues
P1
50.8%
48.3%
P2
50.0%
46.9%
P3
46.6%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |