Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs McKegg 46.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 56.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 56.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Cirelli
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Cirelli
McKegg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
45.9% (146)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
35.7% (14)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Cirelli
McKegg
Home
46.7% (478)
45.3% (64)
Away
46.4% (470)
44.8% (96)
By Period
Cirelli
McKegg
P1
46.6%
48.1%
P2
48.6%
50.0%
P3
44.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |