Anthony Cirelli vs Hendrix Lapierre
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Lapierre 42.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 61.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 69.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 75.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Cirelli
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
39.9% (248)
+10.5%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
40.0% (5)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
0.0% (1)
+36.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Lapierre is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lapierre
Home
54.2% (395)
44.2% (138)
Away
45.0% (509)
34.5% (116)
By Period
Cirelli
Lapierre
P1
50.8%
54.2%
P2
50.0%
39.1%
P3
46.6%
25.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |