Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Compher 51.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Cirelli
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Cirelli
Compher
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cirelli
Compher
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
5
Cirelli
Compher
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Compher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
53.9% (757)
-3.5%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
54.8% (31)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
35.6% (90)
+0.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Compher
Home
54.2% (395)
52.4% (429)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Cirelli
Compher
P1
50.8%
56.0%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
46.6%
50.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |