Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Compher 45.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 72.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 51.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 67.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Cirelli
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cirelli
Compher
Last 6: Cirelli 4-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Compher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
45.5% (782)
+5.4%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
44.2% (77)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
41.7% (180)
+2.3%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Compher
Home
50.6% (494)
44.0% (484)
Away
47.6% (441)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Cirelli
Compher
P1
52.3%
46.2%
P2
45.4%
44.8%
P3
49.5%
44.2%
OT
62.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |