Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Beagle 56.7% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 87.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 81.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 74.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Cirelli
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cirelli
Beagle
Last 8: Cirelli 2-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Cirelli
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Cirelli
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
57.5% (4,994)
-7.7%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
60.5% (119)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
54.2% (1,554)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Beagle
Home
49.6% (3,763)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Cirelli
Beagle
P1
49.9%
57.4%
P2
48.8%
57.1%
P3
49.2%
56.2%
OT
51.6%
41.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |