Anthony Cirelli vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.7%). Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Ek 48.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 54.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 52.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Cirelli
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cirelli
Ek
Last 5: Cirelli 3-2 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
2
Cirelli
Ek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
47.2% (815)
+3.2%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
53.8% (266)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
47.8% (180)
-11.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Ek
Home
54.2% (395)
49.9% (693)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Cirelli
Ek
P1
50.8%
46.2%
P2
50.0%
52.6%
P3
46.6%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |