Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.2%). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Larsson 46.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 65.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Cirelli
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cirelli
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Cirelli
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Cirelli
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
46.7% (345)
-0.3%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
61.1% (18)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
39.0% (59)
-1.5%
On power play, Larsson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Larsson
Home
46.7% (478)
52.1% (167)
Away
46.4% (470)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Cirelli
Larsson
P1
46.6%
50.0%
P2
48.6%
46.7%
P3
44.3%
42.6%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |