Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +21.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Johnson 38.1% (+21.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 59.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 91.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 76.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Cirelli
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cirelli
Johnson
Last 6: Cirelli 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Cirelli
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
29.2% (130)
+22.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
33.3% (9)
+23.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Johnson is 26.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Johnson
Home
52.4% (462)
27.3% (55)
Away
50.1% (369)
31.0% (84)
By Period
Cirelli
Johnson
P1
50.7%
22.2%
P2
49.6%
35.7%
P3
53.3%
31.4%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Johnson
36.0%▲
29.2%
29.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Kent Johnson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Kent Johnson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |