Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Dach 43.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 61.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 85.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 78.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Cirelli
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cirelli
Dach
Last 8: Cirelli 5-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Cirelli
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Dach
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
39.6% (217)
+10.3%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
47.6% (21)
+7.3%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Dach
Home
46.7% (649)
37.8% (127)
Away
53.5% (643)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Cirelli
Dach
P1
50.1%
32.9%
P2
51.1%
36.3%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |