Anthony Cirelli vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.7%). Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs McTavish 50.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 62.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Cirelli
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cirelli
McTavish
Last 5: Cirelli 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Cirelli
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
51.1% (769)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
50.6% (178)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
28.6% (14)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Cirelli
McTavish
Home
46.7% (649)
52.3% (461)
Away
53.5% (643)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Cirelli
McTavish
P1
50.1%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
54.0%
P3
48.5%
47.1%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |