Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Cullen 53.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 65.6%
Defensive zone
Cullen 81.1%
Neutral zone
Cullen 80.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Cirelli
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Cullen
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
54.8% (5,371)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
52.3% (421)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
48.0% (953)
-4.2%
On even strength, Cullen has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Cullen
Home
49.6% (3,763)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Cirelli
Cullen
P1
49.9%
54.7%
P2
48.8%
52.8%
P3
49.2%
53.3%
OT
51.6%
62.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |