Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Domi 50.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 52.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 59.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 53.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Cirelli
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
50.4% (254)
+0.0%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
59.3% (27)
+10.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Domi
Home
54.2% (395)
50.0% (174)
Away
45.0% (509)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Cirelli
Domi
P1
50.8%
45.7%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
46.6%
57.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Max Domi |