Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Domi 48.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 63.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 53.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Cirelli
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
21
(45 meetings)
24
21
Cirelli
Domi
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
8
Cirelli
Domi
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
11
4
Cirelli
Domi
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
8
9
Cirelli
Domi
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
48.1% (4,296)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
53.4% (633)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
48.8% (41)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Domi
Home
49.6% (3,763)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Cirelli
Domi
P1
49.9%
48.7%
P2
48.8%
48.3%
P3
49.2%
49.8%
OT
51.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |