Anthony Cirelli vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 62.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 66.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
46.8% (248)
+3.6%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
62.5% (8)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
43.8% (16)
-7.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Home
54.2% (395)
50.0% (98)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Cirelli
Rasmussen
P1
50.8%
40.2%
P2
50.0%
55.8%
P3
46.6%
43.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |