Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Geekie 47.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 75.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 68.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Cirelli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cirelli
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Cirelli
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
47.0% (117)
+3.4%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
47.1% (34)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
0.0% (3)
+36.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Geekie
Home
54.2% (395)
45.3% (75)
Away
45.0% (509)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Cirelli
Geekie
P1
50.8%
43.1%
P2
50.0%
48.1%
P3
46.6%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |