Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Geekie 47.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 50.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 83.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 69.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Cirelli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Cirelli
Geekie
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
1
Cirelli
Geekie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
3
Cirelli
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
45.7% (352)
+4.2%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
63.2% (19)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
33.3% (3)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Geekie
Home
46.7% (649)
48.5% (165)
Away
53.5% (643)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Cirelli
Geekie
P1
50.1%
48.5%
P2
51.1%
45.1%
P3
48.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |