Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Thompson 54.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 89.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 83.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Cirelli
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Cirelli
Thompson
Last 6: Cirelli 0-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Cirelli
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Cirelli
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Cirelli
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
55.8% (654)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
50.0% (10)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
51.2% (123)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Thompson
Home
45.4% (469)
57.0% (421)
Away
49.7% (445)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Cirelli
Thompson
P1
46.3%
57.9%
P2
46.3%
52.3%
P3
49.6%
55.2%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |