Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Thompson 54.3% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 76.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Cirelli
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
55.5% (236)
-9.1%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
60.0% (5)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
56.5% (46)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Thompson
Home
46.7% (478)
53.1% (128)
Away
46.4% (470)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Cirelli
Thompson
P1
46.6%
59.0%
P2
48.6%
55.4%
P3
44.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%