Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Acciari 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 80.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 78.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Cirelli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Cirelli
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
53.0% (285)
-2.6%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
31.3% (16)
+38.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
50.8% (183)
-14.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Acciari
Home
54.2% (395)
53.2% (267)
Away
45.0% (509)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Cirelli
Acciari
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
46.6%
50.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |